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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Heerenveen
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Volendam
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Volendam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,52 xG 0,79
58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Heerenveen Volendam
1–0 L. Brouwers
L. Smans
4′
Half-time 1–0
Jacob Trenskow ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
M. Linday 🔁
↦ L. Smans
53′
59′
🔁 N. Bukala
↦ A. Plat
65′
O. Kokcu 1–1
G. Yah
69′
🟨 Nordin Bukala
E. Gurbuz 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
72′
72′
🔁 B. Kuwas
↦ O. Kokcu
72′
🔁 M. de Haan
↦ G. Yah
V. Sejk 🔁
↦ D. Vente
83′
83′
🔁 A. Meijers
↦ R. Muhren
84′
🔁 R. van Cruijsen
↦ A. Oehlers
Sam Kersten 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
44 A. Noppert G
19 V. Zagaritis D
4 S. Kersten D
17 N. Hopland D
28 H. Petrov D
6 J. van Overeem M
8 L. Brouwers M
20 J. Trenskow M
14 L. Smans M
7 M. Rivera M
9 D. Vente F
Bench (10)
22 B. Klaverboer
1 N. Bakker
3 M. Willemsen
32 R. Bouw
31 K. Jansen
16 M. Linday
21 E. van Ee
50 E. Gurbuz
33 J. Rijssel
27 V. Sejk

Coach: Robin Veldman

Volendam

4-2-3-1
1 K. van Oevelen G
2 D. Payne D
4 X. Mbuyamba D
3 M. Amevor D
32 Y. Leliendal D
6 A. Plat M
8 G. Yah M
11 A. Oehlers M
21 R. Muhren M
7 O. Kokcu M
9 H. Veerman F
Bench (12)
16 R. Steur
22 D. Vlak
5 P. Ugwu
10 B. Kuwas
14 A. Meijers
18 N. Bukala
19 M. Zijlstra
24 K. Wong-A-Soij
28 S. Esajas
36 M. de Haan
39 J. Tielemans
40 R. van Cruijsen

Coach: Rick Kruys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U ✓
4,03
B
5,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.