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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Excelsior

T T U T S

2–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

30%

70%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

60%

70%

Average goals

3,9

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

2,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%

8 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 13. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+28	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	0	2	+21	24
3	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	Twente	9	6	1	2	+12	19
6	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Waalwijk	11	3	5	3	+3	14
8	For Sittard	11	3	3	5	-5	12
9	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
10	Heerenveen	9	2	5	2	-1	11
11	Vitesse	11	3	2	6	-9	11
12	Nijmegen	10	1	7	2	+0	10
13	Excelsior	10	3	1	6	-15	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Cambuur	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Groningen	10	2	2	6	-12	8
17	FC Emmen	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Volendam	10	1	3	6	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Twente	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+20	13
4	Sparta Rotterdam	6	4	0	2	+7	12
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	Waalwijk	6	2	2	2	+3	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	For Sittard	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	FC Emmen	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Nijmegen	5	0	4	1	-1	4
16	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Cambuur	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Volendam	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-4	7
6	Nijmegen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
7	Waalwijk	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-12	4
17	Volendam	6	0	3	3	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.