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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Nijmegen

U U U U U

1–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,7

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

13%

38%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

13%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,6

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 10. · Excelsior 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+19	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Twente	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Waalwijk	9	3	4	2	+6	13
8	Utrecht	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Nijmegen	8	1	6	1	+2	9
11	Excelsior	8	3	0	5	-9	9
12	Groningen	9	2	2	5	-9	8
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	For Sittard	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Cambuur	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	2	5	-12	5
17	FC Emmen	9	1	2	6	-14	5
18	Volendam	9	1	2	6	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Waalwijk	5	2	2	1	+6	8
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
8	For Sittard	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	FC Emmen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Nijmegen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Volendam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Vitesse	4	0	2	2	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	0	2	+4	6
6	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
7	Waalwijk	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Vitesse	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Volendam	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.