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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

Excelsior

U T U S S

1–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 50%

36%

64%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

60%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 11. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	21	2	2	+39	65
2	Ajax	25	18	4	3	+45	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	25	16	5	4	+24	53
4	Feyenoord	25	12	6	7	+20	42
5	Utrecht	23	11	7	5	+4	40
6	Zwolle	25	11	6	8	-1	39
7	Vitesse	22	9	7	6	+11	34
8	Den Haag	23	9	6	8	-2	33
9	Heracles	26	9	6	11	-13	33
10	Heerenveen	24	8	8	8	-3	32
11	Excelsior	25	9	5	11	-5	32
12	VVV Venlo	25	7	11	7	-5	32
13	Groningen	25	5	10	10	-5	25
14	Willem II	25	6	5	14	-14	23
15	NAC Breda	25	5	6	14	-16	21
16	Twente	25	4	5	16	-19	17
17	Roda	26	4	5	17	-31	17
18	Sparta Rotterdam	25	3	6	16	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+23	31
3	Heracles	13	8	3	2	+7	27
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Feyenoord	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+7	23
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	13	4	7	2	+5	19
9	Den Haag	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Willem II	13	4	3	6	+0	15
11	Heerenveen	12	4	3	5	-6	15
12	VVV Venlo	13	3	5	5	-4	14
13	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+3	13
14	NAC Breda	12	4	1	7	-8	13
15	Twente	12	3	3	6	-6	12
16	Roda	13	3	3	7	-11	12
17	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	2	7	-12	11
18	Excelsior	12	2	4	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+17	31
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+22	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Excelsior	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Feyenoord	12	5	3	4	+10	18
7	VVV Venlo	12	4	6	2	-1	18
8	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+3	17
9	Utrecht	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Zwolle	13	4	4	5	-8	16
11	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-4	15
12	NAC Breda	13	1	5	7	-8	8
13	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-14	8
14	Groningen	12	1	3	8	-10	6
15	Heracles	13	1	3	9	-20	6
16	Twente	13	1	2	10	-13	5
17	Roda	13	1	2	10	-20	5
18	Sparta Rotterdam	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.