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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Excelsior

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

74% Possession 26%

22 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

9 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

26 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Excelsior 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Heerenveen	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Feyenoord	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	0	1	+5	12
6	Zwolle	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Ajax	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	VVV Venlo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
10	Heracles	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Groningen	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Twente	6	1	0	5	-2	3
17	Willem II	6	1	0	5	-8	3
18	Roda	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zwolle	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	NAC Breda	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Twente	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	VVV Venlo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0
18	Roda	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.