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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Groningen
T T T T S
4–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
0,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,2
4,9
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

36% Possession 64%
17 Shots 28
7 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 13
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 16. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +28 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 8 0 2 +21 24
3 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +15 24
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 2 2 +9 23
5 Twente 9 6 1 2 +12 19
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 +5 17
7 Waalwijk 11 3 5 3 +3 14
8 Excelsior 11 4 1 6 -14 13
9 For Sittard 11 3 3 5 -5 12
10 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 -6 12
11 Heerenveen 9 2 5 2 -1 11
12 Vitesse 11 3 2 6 -9 11
13 Nijmegen 10 1 7 2 +0 10
14 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 3 5 -5 9
15 Cambuur 10 2 2 6 -9 8
16 Groningen 10 2 2 6 -12 8
17 FC Emmen 11 1 3 7 -15 6
18 Volendam 10 1 3 6 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen PSV Eindhoven
1–0 R. Pepi
39′
2–0 R. Balker
L. Duarte
43′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 C. Ngonge
46′
46′
🔁 N. Madueke
↦ A. El Ghazi
48′
I. Sangaré 3–1
C. Gakpo
56′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ J. Veerman
J. Pelupessy 🔁
↦ L. Valente
64′
R. Oratmangoen 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
64′
69′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ P. Max
76′
G. Til 3–2
C. Gakpo
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ F. Krüger
83′
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ C. Ngonge
83′
M. Šverko 🔁
↦ I. Määttä
87′
4–2 J. Pelupessy
D. Dankerlui
92′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
25 J. de Boer G
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
12 R. Balker D
5 M. te Wierik D
18 I. Määttä D
40 L. Valente M
6 L. Duarte M
27 C. Ngonge M
23 F. Krüger M
11 P. Abraham M
9 R. Pepi F
Bench (10)
4 J. Pelupessy
34 R. Oratmangoen
22 R. Lundqvist
2 D. Dankerlui
3 M. Šverko
14 E. Matuta
55 T. van Bergen
10 D. Irandust
44 J. Meijster
16 J. Hoekstra

Coach: F. Wormuth

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
4 A. Obispo D
31 P. Max D
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
21 A. El Ghazi M
7 X. Simons M
11 C. Gakpo M
20 G. Til F
Bench (12)
10 N. Madueke
9 L. de Jong
17 Mauro Júnior
16 J. Drommel
27 J. Bakayoko
37 R. Ledezma
15 É. Gutiérrez
22 J. Branthwaite
8 M. van Ginkel
29 P. Mwene
2 K. Hoever
24 B. Waterman

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
8,88
U
5,33
B
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.