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Conference League
Referee: R Saggi
AZ Alkmaar
S U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Apollon Limassol
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Apollon Limassol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,7
This season — Conference League · 8/2 matches
Win Ø 44%
88%
0%
Points per game
2,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,9
0,5
Conceded
0,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Apollon Limassol
1–0 J. Odgaard ⚽
P. Hatzidiakos
16′
19′
⚽ P. Joosten 1–1
I. Pittas
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. de Wit ⚽
62′
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
63′
Z. Vanheusden 🔁
↦ M. Dekker
63′
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
64′
64′
🔁 Bassel Jradi
↦ D. Spoljaric
64′
🔁 Vá
↦ P. Joosten
64′
🔁 I. Coll
↦ I. Shahar
67′
🟨 Euclides Cabral
71′
⚽ Euclides Cabral 2–2
Vá
76′
🔁 N. Diguiny
↦ P. Artymatas
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
81′
85′
🔁 B. Dabo
↦ E. Henty
3–2 J. Karlsson ⚽
M. Kerkez
85′
88′
🟨 Vá
90′
🟨 Bagaliy Dabo
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
22 M. Dekker D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
10 D. de Wit M
8 J. Clasie M
2 Y. Sugawara F
7 J. Odgaard F
19 M. van Brederode F
Bench (11)
23 M. Lahdo
27 Z. Vanheusden
11 J. Karlsson
25 R. Bazoer
14 P. Koopmeiners
28 Z. Buurmeester
17 Y. Barası
34 M. de Wit
1 P. Vindahl
32 F. de Jong
13 S. Westerveld

Coach: P. Jansen

Apollon Limassol

4-4-2
26 A. Jovanović G
19 Euclides Cabral D
6 P. Artymatas D
4 V. Jovanović D
24 A. Khammas D
65 P. Joosten M
20 D. Spoljaric M
25 C. Kyriakou M
36 I. Shahar M
9 I. Pittas F
90 E. Henty F
Bench (7)
93 Bassel Jradi
23 Vá
77 I. Coll
28 N. Diguiny
11 B. Dabo
99 D. Demetriou
78 G. Loizou

Coach: David Català

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.