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2. Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Hamburg

S S U T T

2–3

Full-time

Magdeburg

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%

23 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

11 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Magdeburg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	8	4	1	+10	28
2	Paderborn	13	8	2	3	+20	26
3	Hamburg	12	8	1	3	+7	25
4	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	Heidenheim	12	5	5	2	+6	20
6	Holstein Kiel	13	5	5	3	+0	20
7	Kaiserslautern	13	4	7	2	+2	19
8	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	-4	18
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	2	5	+5	17
10	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+4	17
11	Braunschweig	13	4	4	5	-6	16
12	St Pauli	13	3	5	5	-1	14
13	Nurnberg	13	4	2	7	-9	14
14	Hansa Rostock	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-6	12
16	Bielefeld	13	3	2	8	-7	11
17	Greuther Furth	12	1	7	4	-5	10
18	Magdeburg	12	3	1	8	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Darmstadt	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Regensburg	7	3	3	1	-1	12
6	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Heidenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
8	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Hamburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
13	Bielefeld	6	3	0	3	+1	9
14	Kaiserslautern	7	2	3	2	-2	9
15	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-2	9
16	Greuther Furth	7	1	5	1	-1	8
17	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Magdeburg	6	2	0	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Darmstadt	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Kaiserslautern	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Hannover	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Heidenheim	7	2	3	2	+1	9
6	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	-5	9
7	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
10	Regensburg	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Hansa Rostock	6	1	2	3	-7	5
12	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Magdeburg	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	St Pauli	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Bielefeld	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.