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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Manschot

Excelsior

S T T U T

5–1

Full-time

MVV

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	ADO '20	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
39	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	ADO '20	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.