Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vizela
Santa Clara
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |
Sp Braga
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 3 |
Porto
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 22 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |
Casa Pia
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 |
Boavista
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Portimonense
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |
Chaves
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Arouca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 |
Vizela
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rio Ave
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |
Gil Vicente
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |
Santa Clara
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 2 |
| 18 |
Maritimo
|
9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -19 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Samú
M
Kiko Bondoso
M
M. Osmajić
F
Coach: Álvaro Pacheco
Gabriel Silva
M
Coach: Mário Silva
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Penafiel
Vizela
Casa Pia
Vizela
Vizela
Portimonense
Sp Braga
Vizela
Vizela
Estoril
Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.