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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Clermont

U T S S U

1–3

Full-time

Brest

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

45%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Clermont 9. · Brest 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+27	32
2	Lens	12	8	3	1	+11	27
3	Lorient	11	8	2	1	+7	26
4	Rennes	12	7	3	2	+13	24
5	Marseille	12	7	2	3	+11	23
6	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+6	21
7	Lille	11	6	1	4	+3	19
8	Lyon	12	5	2	5	+5	17
9	Clermont	11	5	2	4	-1	17
10	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Montpellier	12	4	0	8	-2	12
12	Troyes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Nice	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Nantes	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Reims	11	1	6	4	-7	9
16	Auxerre	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Strasbourg	11	1	5	5	-7	8
18	Ajaccio	12	2	2	8	-11	8
19	Angers	12	2	2	8	-15	8
20	Brest	11	1	3	7	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Rennes	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Paris SG	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-2	9
9	Lille	5	3	0	2	-2	9
10	Clermont	5	3	0	2	-3	9
11	Nantes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Monaco	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Troyes	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	Auxerre	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Nice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Angers	7	1	1	5	-8	4
17	Reims	5	0	3	2	-5	3
18	Strasbourg	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Lille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Lens	6	2	3	1	+3	9
7	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Clermont	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Nice	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Ajaccio	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Troyes	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Reims	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Toulouse	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Brest	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Angers	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Montpellier	5	1	0	4	+0	3
19	Auxerre	5	1	0	4	-9	3
20	Nantes	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.