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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Basel
T T U U U
3–1
Full-time
Winterthur
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Super League · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 26%
27%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
36%
42%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 7. · Winterthur 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +21 28
2 Servette 12 6 4 2 +4 22
3 Sion 13 5 4 4 +0 19
4 St. Gallen 12 5 2 5 +4 17
5 Luzern 12 4 4 4 +3 16
6 Lugano 13 5 1 7 -4 16
7 Basel 11 3 5 3 +3 14
8 Grasshoppers 12 3 5 4 -3 14
9 Winterthur 12 3 3 6 -15 12
10 Zurich 12 0 6 6 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Jul -22 Winterthur – Basel 1–1

Match report

Basel Winterthur
1–0 Arnau Comas ⚽
2′
N. Katterbach 🔁
↦ R. Calafiori
7′
2–0 Arnau Comas ⚽
D. Males
8′
Arnau Comas 🟨
23′
36′
🟨 Thibault Corbaz
Half-time 2–0
A. Pelmard 🔁
↦ Arnau Comas
46′
Liam Millar 🟨
48′
F. Frei 🔁
↦ T. Xhaka
54′
3–0 B. Fink ⚽
D. Males
58′
59′
🔁 S. Seiler
↦ F. Kamberi
59′
🔁 H. Kryeziu
↦ T. Corbaz
64′
🟨 Stephan Seiler
Darian Males 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 N. Manzambi
↦ R. Arnold
70′
🔁 E. Abedini
↦ R. Buess
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ B. Fink
76′
A. Kade 🔁
↦ D. Males
76′
81′
🔁 C. Chiappetta
↦ N. Burkart
91′
⚽ S. Seiler 3–1
N. Manzambi
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-3-3
1 M. Hitz G
5 M. Lang D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Nuhu D
33 R. Calafiori D
8 A. Diouf M
34 T. Xhaka M
23 W. Burger M
19 D. Males F
14 B. Fink F
7 L. Millar F
Bench (9)
3 N. Katterbach
21 A. Pelmard
20 F. Frei
10 J. Augustin
30 A. Kade
17 A. Zeqiri
13 M. Salvi
9 Z. Amdouni
28 K. Sène

Coach: A. Frei

Winterthur

4-4-2
1 T. Fayulu G
19 A. Gantenbein D
4 G. Lekaj D
5 R. Gelmi D
3 T. Schättin D
10 M. Di Giusto M
14 T. Corbaz M
16 R. Arnold M
99 N. Burkart M
22 F. Kamberi F
9 R. Buess F
Bench (9)
33 S. Seiler
40 H. Kryeziu
11 N. Manzambi
77 E. Abedini
20 C. Chiappetta
35 A. Dakaj
36 J. Pukaj
15 M. Gonçalves
25 Y. Schmid

Coach: B. Berner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.