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LaLiga2

Referee: Daniel Trujillo

Lugo

U T U T T

2–0

Full-time

Burgos

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

18%

45%

Points per game

0,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

55%

18%

Both score Ø 41%

73%

Average goals

2,6

0,8

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugo 20. · Burgos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	11	6	5	0	+11	23
2	Alaves	12	6	5	1	+4	23
3	Burgos	11	5	6	0	+7	21
4	Cartagena	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Granada	12	6	2	4	+5	20
6	Levante	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Albacete	11	5	4	2	+3	19
8	Sp Gijon	12	5	4	3	+2	19
9	Eibar	11	5	3	3	+3	18
10	Huesca	12	4	5	3	+3	17
11	Villarreal B	12	4	4	4	-1	16
12	Andorra	12	4	3	5	-2	15
13	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	+1	14
14	Zaragoza	12	3	4	5	-3	13
15	Santander	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Ponferradina	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Ibiza	12	3	2	7	-8	11
18	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-4	10
19	Oviedo	11	2	4	5	-4	10
20	Lugo	11	2	3	6	-5	9
21	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
22	Mirandes	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Burgos	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Eibar	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Sp Gijon	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Villarreal B	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Tenerife	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Alaves	6	3	3	0	+4	12
8	Las Palmas	5	3	2	0	+5	11
9	Huesca	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Levante	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Cartagena	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Andorra	5	3	0	2	+3	9
13	Albacete	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Zaragoza	6	2	3	1	+1	9
15	Leganes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Mirandes	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Ibiza	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Santander	6	1	3	2	-2	6
19	Ponferradina	6	1	2	3	-3	5
20	Malaga	5	1	2	2	-4	5
21	Lugo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
22	Oviedo	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
2	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+0	11
3	Cartagena	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Albacete	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Levante	6	2	3	1	+0	9
6	Ponferradina	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Burgos	5	1	4	0	+1	7
8	Santander	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Oviedo	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Huesca	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Sp Gijon	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Andorra	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Lugo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Malaga	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Zaragoza	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Ibiza	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Villarreal B	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Granada	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Leganes	6	1	0	5	-4	3
21	Tenerife	5	0	2	3	-4	2
22	Mirandes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.