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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Swansea
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Cardiff
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Championship · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 43%
53%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

83% Possession 17%
13 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Swansea 9. · Cardiff 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 QPR 16 9 3 4 +8 30
2 Blackburn 17 10 0 7 +4 30
3 Burnley 16 7 8 1 +14 29
4 Sheffield United 16 7 5 4 +10 26
5 Millwall 16 8 2 6 +3 26
6 Norwich 16 7 4 5 +5 25
7 Reading 16 8 1 7 -4 25
8 Luton 15 6 6 3 +6 24
9 Swansea 15 7 3 5 -2 24
10 Preston 17 5 7 5 -3 22
11 Rotherham 15 5 6 4 +1 21
12 Bristol City 17 6 3 8 -1 21
13 Sunderland 16 5 5 6 +1 20
14 Birmingham 16 5 5 6 +1 20
15 Watford 15 5 5 5 -1 20
16 Hull 16 6 2 8 -11 20
17 Stoke 16 5 4 7 -3 19
18 Blackpool 16 5 4 7 -4 19
19 Wigan 16 5 4 7 -7 19
20 Cardiff 15 5 3 7 -5 18
21 Middlesbrough 15 4 5 6 -1 17
22 West Brom 16 2 8 6 -2 14
23 Coventry 12 3 4 5 -3 13
24 Huddersfield 15 3 3 9 -6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Cardiff
7′
🟥 Callum Robinson
1–0 O. Cooper
L. Cundle
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Harris
↦ S. Ojo
Harry Darling 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Callum O'Dowda
Michael Obafemi 🟨
58′
Luke Cundle 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 Joe Ralls
2–0 M. Obafemi
M. Grimes
67′
O. Ntcham 🔁
↦ L. Cundle
70′
74′
🔁 G. Whyte
↦ A. Rinomhota
83′
🔁 K. Etete
↦ C. ODowda
91′
🟨 Mark Harris
A. Oko-Flex 🔁
↦ M. Sorinola
92′
L. Cullen 🔁
↦ M. Obafemi
93′
C. Congreve 🔁
↦ O. Cooper
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-2-1
13 S. Benda G
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
6 H. Darling D
5 B. Cabango D
22 J. Latibeaudiere M
4 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
29 M. Sorinola M
18 L. Cundle F
31 O. Cooper F
9 M. Obafemi F
Bench (7)
10 O. Ntcham
20 L. Cullen
21 A. Oko-Flex
45 C. Congreve
1 A. Fisher
24 F. Stevens
26 K. Naughton

Coach: R. Martin

Cardiff

4-3-3
1 R. Allsop G
12 T. Sang D
16 C. Nelson D
23 C. Kipré D
37 N. Nkounkou D
35 A. Rinomhota M
6 R. Wintle M
8 J. Ralls M
11 C. O'Dowda F
47 C. Robinson F
10 S. Ojo F
Bench (7)
29 M. Harris
20 G. Whyte
9 K. Etete
19 R. Sawyers
21 J. Alnwick
26 J. Simpson
22 V. Campbell

Coach: M. Hudson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,40
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.