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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Toulouse

S T S U S

2–2

Full-time

Strasbourg

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

36%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

64%

45%

Both score Ø 69%

64%

73%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 10. · Strasbourg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+27	32
2	Lens	12	8	3	1	+11	27
3	Lorient	11	8	2	1	+7	26
4	Rennes	12	7	3	2	+13	24
5	Marseille	12	7	2	3	+11	23
6	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+6	21
7	Lille	11	6	1	4	+3	19
8	Lyon	12	5	2	5	+5	17
9	Clermont	11	5	2	4	-1	17
10	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Montpellier	12	4	0	8	-2	12
12	Troyes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Nice	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Nantes	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Reims	11	1	6	4	-7	9
16	Auxerre	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Strasbourg	11	1	5	5	-7	8
18	Ajaccio	12	2	2	8	-11	8
19	Angers	12	2	2	8	-15	8
20	Brest	11	1	3	7	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Rennes	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Paris SG	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-2	9
9	Lille	5	3	0	2	-2	9
10	Clermont	5	3	0	2	-3	9
11	Nantes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Monaco	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Troyes	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	Auxerre	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Nice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Angers	7	1	1	5	-8	4
17	Reims	5	0	3	2	-5	3
18	Strasbourg	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Lille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Lens	6	2	3	1	+3	9
7	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Clermont	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Nice	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Ajaccio	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Troyes	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Reims	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Toulouse	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Brest	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Angers	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Montpellier	5	1	0	4	+0	3
19	Auxerre	5	1	0	4	-9	3
20	Nantes	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.