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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
Elfsborg
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Hammarby
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
37%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 7. · Hammarby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 27 16 9 2 +27 57
2 Djurgarden 27 15 6 6 +26 51
3 Hammarby 27 14 8 5 +30 50
4 Kalmar 27 14 5 8 +12 47
5 AIK 27 13 8 6 +10 47
6 Malmo FF 27 12 6 9 +8 42
7 Elfsborg 27 10 10 7 +15 40
8 Goteborg 27 12 3 12 +3 39
9 Mjallby 27 9 10 8 -3 37
10 Varnamo 27 9 8 10 -10 35
11 Norrkoping 27 8 8 11 -1 32
12 Sirius 27 8 7 12 -11 31
13 Varberg 27 7 7 13 -21 28
14 Degerfors 27 6 8 13 -18 26
15 Helsingborg 27 4 5 18 -24 17
16 Sundsvall 27 4 2 21 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Hammarby
1–0 A. Bernhardsson
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ A. Saidi
55′
J. Nilsson 1–1
G. Ludwigson
J. Ondrejka 🔁
↦ A. Bernhardsson
65′
70′
🟨 Loret Sadiku
70′
🔁 P. Vagić
↦ J. Nilsson
74′
🟨 Mohanad Jeahze
O. Aga 🔁
↦ S. Guðjohnsen
78′
K. Holmén 🔁
↦ E. Boateng
78′
A. Qasem 🔁
↦ J. Okkels
81′
P. Frick 🔁
↦ M. Baidoo
82′
82′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ L. Sadiku
82′
🔁 David Concha
↦ N. Besara
Per Frick 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Shaquille Pinas
86′
🔁 S. Sandberg
↦ Mohanad Jeahze
Kevin Holmén 🟨
87′
2–1 N. Söderberg
A. Qasem
89′
Ahmed Qasem 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-3-3
30 H. Valdimarsson G
23 N. Hult D
24 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
15 L. Väisänen D
26 E. Boateng M
13 M. Baidoo M
28 N. Söderberg M
11 S. Guðjohnsen F
19 J. Okkels F
12 A. Bernhardsson F
Bench (7)
7 J. Ondrejka
14 O. Aga
22 K. Holmén
18 A. Qasem
17 P. Frick
31 T. Rönning
29 I. Buhari

Coach: J. Thelin

Hammarby

4-3-3
24 O. Dovin G
13 M. Fenger D
22 J. Nilsson F
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
30 S. Pinas D
21 E. Kurtulus D
20 N. Besara M
18 L. Sadiku M
6 D. Bojanić M
40 A. Saidi F
16 G. Ludwigson F
Bench (7)
9 V. Berisha
15 P. Vagić
8 J. Andersen
17 David Concha
2 S. Sandberg
34 A. Demirol
25 D. Blažević

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.