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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Villarreal

S T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Almeria

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

30%

60%

Both score Ø 35%

10%

60%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

0,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 8. · Almeria 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	10	1	0	+19	31
2	Barcelona	10	8	1	1	+20	25
3	Ath Madrid	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Sociedad	11	7	1	3	+3	22
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Ath Bilbao	10	5	3	2	+11	18
7	Osasuna	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+6	15
9	Valencia	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Vallecano	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Valladolid	11	4	2	5	-4	14
12	Mallorca	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Espanol	11	2	4	5	-5	10
14	Almeria	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Sevilla	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Celta	10	3	1	6	-9	10
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-8	9
18	Girona	10	2	2	6	-4	8
19	Cadiz	11	1	4	6	-17	7
20	Elche	11	0	4	7	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Osasuna	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	Valencia	6	3	1	2	+6	10
6	Vallecano	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Valladolid	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
11	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+6	7
12	Ath Madrid	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Celta	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Getafe	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-9	3
20	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+7	8
6	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Betis	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Vallecano	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Cadiz	5	1	1	3	-8	4
17	Celta	5	1	0	4	-9	3
18	Elche	6	0	2	4	-11	2
19	Girona	5	0	1	4	-4	1
20	Almeria	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.