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Super League
Panathinaikos
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Aris
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
25%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 1. · Aris 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 8 8 0 0 +12 24
2 Volos NFC 10 7 2 1 +10 23
3 AEK 9 7 0 2 +13 21
4 Olympiakos 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 PAOK 9 4 4 1 +3 16
6 Panetolikos 10 4 2 4 +2 14
7 Aris Thessalonikis 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Aris 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Atromitos 9 3 2 4 +0 11
10 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 5 3 -3 8
11 Lamia 8 1 4 3 -5 7
12 Giannina 9 1 3 5 -10 6
13 OFI Crete 8 1 2 5 -7 5
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 3 6 -10 3
15 Ionikos 10 0 3 7 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,29
B
4,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.