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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Santander
T U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
0,8
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
9%
64%
Both score Ø 37%
9%
64%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 15. · Ponferradina 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 11 6 5 0 +11 23
2 Alaves 12 6 5 1 +4 23
3 Burgos 11 5 6 0 +7 21
4 Cartagena 11 6 2 3 +5 20
5 Granada 12 6 2 4 +5 20
6 Levante 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Albacete 11 5 4 2 +3 19
8 Sp Gijon 12 5 4 3 +2 19
9 Eibar 11 5 3 3 +3 18
10 Huesca 12 4 5 3 +3 17
11 Villarreal B 12 4 4 4 -1 16
12 Andorra 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Tenerife 11 3 5 3 +1 14
14 Zaragoza 12 3 4 5 -3 13
15 Santander 11 3 3 5 -3 12
16 Ponferradina 11 3 3 5 -4 12
17 Ibiza 12 3 2 7 -8 11
18 Leganes 11 3 1 7 -4 10
19 Oviedo 11 2 4 5 -4 10
20 Lugo 11 2 3 6 -5 9
21 Malaga 11 2 3 6 -7 9
22 Mirandes 12 1 5 6 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Ponferradina
-5′
🟨 Adrián Castellano
1–0 Iñigo Vicente
19′
23′
🟨 José Naranjo
31′
🟨 José Amo
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Derik Lacerda
↦ Erik Morán
Juergen Elitim 🟨
47′
55′
🟨 Kelechi Nwakali
Arturo Molina 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
61′
Aritz Aldasoro 🔁
↦ J. Elitim
61′
63′
🔁 Adrián Diéguez
↦ José Amo
63′
🔁 Moi Delgado
↦ Ricard Pujol
64′
José Naranjo 1–1
Derik Lacerda
73′
🟨 Derik Lacerda
Marco Camús 🔁
↦ Iñigo Vicente
74′
82′
🔁 S. Abdulai
↦ Agus Medina
84′
🔁 Hugo Vallejo
↦ José Naranjo
86′
🟨 Paris Barandiaran
89′
🟨 Eduardo Espiau
Alfon González 🔁
↦ Jordi Mboula
90′
91′
🟨 Hugo Vallejo
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
23 Dani Fernández D
4 Pol Moreno D
15 Rubén González D
3 Eneko Satrústegui D
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza M
20 J. Elitim M
14 Jordi Mboula M
24 Jorge Pombo M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
29 Peque Fernández F
Bench (12)
22 Arturo Molina
21 Aritz Aldasoro
11 Marco Camús
7 Alfon González
45 A. Jabbari
18 Saúl García
13 Jokin Ezkieta
28 Jorge Delgado
5 Pablo Bobadilla
16 Germán Sánchez
8 Fausto Tienza
30 Mario Jorrín

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Ponferradina

4-2-3-1
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
5 José Amo D
14 Ricard Pujol D
8 Agus Medina M
18 Erik Morán M
7 Dani Ojeda M
11 K. Nwakali M
20 José Naranjo M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (9)
23 Derik Lacerda
3 Adrián Diéguez
16 Moi Delgado
24 S. Abdulai
30 Hugo Vallejo
13 G. Makaridze
15 Adrián Castellano
2 Aldair
17 Heriberto Tavares

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U ✓
3,40
B
3,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.