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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Utrecht

T S S U S

1–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

38%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · AZ Alkmaar 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+19	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Twente	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Waalwijk	9	3	4	2	+6	13
8	Utrecht	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Nijmegen	9	1	7	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Excelsior	9	3	1	5	-9	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Cambuur	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Groningen	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	For Sittard	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	2	5	-12	5
17	FC Emmen	9	1	2	6	-14	5
18	Volendam	9	1	2	6	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Waalwijk	5	2	2	1	+6	8
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
8	For Sittard	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	FC Emmen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Nijmegen	5	0	4	1	-1	4
14	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Volendam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Vitesse	4	0	2	2	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	0	2	+4	6
6	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
7	Waalwijk	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Vitesse	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Volendam	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.