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Eredivisie

Referee: Ingmar Oostrom

For Sittard

T S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

25%

35%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

65%

55%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 15. · Heerenveen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	15	2	3	+42	47
2	AZ Alkmaar	21	15	2	4	+31	47
3	Feyenoord	21	11	7	3	+11	40
4	Willem II	21	12	4	5	+8	40
5	PSV Eindhoven	20	10	6	4	+19	36
6	Vitesse	21	10	5	6	+10	35
7	Utrecht	20	10	3	7	+12	33
8	Groningen	21	8	5	8	+3	29
9	Heerenveen	20	7	7	6	+4	28
10	Heracles	21	7	5	9	+2	26
11	Sparta Rotterdam	21	6	6	9	-6	24
12	Twente	21	6	6	9	-9	24
13	FC Emmen	21	6	4	11	-16	22
14	Zwolle	21	6	3	12	-16	21
15	For Sittard	20	5	5	10	-21	20
16	VVV Venlo	20	6	1	13	-26	19
17	Den Haag	21	4	5	12	-20	17
18	Waalwijk	21	3	2	16	-28	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	9	0	1	+30	27
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+11	24
4	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+17	23
5	Willem II	11	6	3	2	+6	21
6	FC Emmen	10	6	2	2	+7	20
7	Groningen	10	6	1	3	+8	19
8	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
9	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	3	2	+9	18
10	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+7	18
11	For Sittard	10	5	2	3	+4	17
12	Heracles	10	5	1	4	+9	16
13	Heerenveen	11	3	6	2	+1	15
14	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
15	Zwolle	10	4	2	4	-2	14
16	VVV Venlo	10	4	1	5	-8	13
17	Den Haag	11	2	5	4	-3	11
18	Waalwijk	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Willem II	10	6	1	3	+2	19
4	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+3	17
5	Feyenoord	10	4	4	2	+0	16
6	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	+3	13
8	PSV Eindhoven	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
10	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Twente	10	2	3	5	-9	9
12	Zwolle	11	2	1	8	-14	7
13	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-15	6
14	Den Haag	10	2	0	8	-17	6
15	VVV Venlo	10	2	0	8	-18	6
16	Waalwijk	11	1	1	9	-21	4
17	For Sittard	10	0	3	7	-25	3
18	FC Emmen	11	0	2	9	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.