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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

West Ham

U S T S T

1–5

Full-time

Chelsea

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

0,73 xG 2,74

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Ham 19. · Chelsea 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
3	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
8	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
10	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
14	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0
20	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
7	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
9	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
10	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
3	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
4	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
5	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
6	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
7	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
8	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
9	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
10	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.