Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Ham
Tottenham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | +4.1 | 9 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +0.2 | 9 |
| 3 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +2.5 | 9 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | +4.3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | -1.1 | 7 |
| 6 |
Everton
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | +0.2 | 7 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | -0.5 | 6 |
| 8 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | +2.2 | 6 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | +2.3 | 5 |
| 10 |
Fulham
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -1.9 | 5 |
| 11 |
Man United
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | +2.5 | 4 |
| 12 |
Brighton
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +1.2 | 4 |
| 13 |
Nott'm Forest
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -3.2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Leeds
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -1.2 | 4 |
| 15 |
Man City
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | +1.9 | 3 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -3.6 | 3 |
| 17 |
Brentford
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.7 | 3 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.5 | 3 |
| 19 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -4.3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | -4.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Hermansen
G
K. Walker-Peters
D
K. Mavropanos
D
M. Kilman
D
M. Diouf
D
J. Ward-Prowse
M
J. Bowen
M
M. Fernandes
M
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
G. Vicario
G
P. Porro
D
C. Romero
D
M. van de Ven
D
P. M. Sarr
M
J. Palhinha
M
L. Bergvall
M
M. Kudus
F
M. Tel
F
Coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nott'm Forest
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
West Ham
Chelsea
Sunderland
West Ham
Ipswich
West Ham
J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.