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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Ajax

S S U S S

5–0

Full-time

Den Haag

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 44%

80%

Points per game

2,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

72%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

52%

54%

Average goals

3,9

2,9

Scored

3,1

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+2,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

73% Possession 27%

18 Shots 2

10 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Den Haag 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	25	20	3	2	+59	63
2	PSV Eindhoven	27	16	7	4	+29	55
3	AZ Alkmaar	27	16	7	4	+25	55
4	Vitesse	27	16	4	7	+17	52
5	Feyenoord	25	13	7	5	+26	46
6	Groningen	26	12	6	8	+3	42
7	Utrecht	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Twente	27	9	10	8	+4	37
9	Heracles	27	10	6	11	-9	36
10	Heerenveen	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	For Sittard	27	10	4	13	-8	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	26	8	6	12	-5	30
13	Zwolle	27	6	11	10	-8	29
14	Waalwijk	27	6	8	13	-14	26
15	Willem II	27	5	7	15	-25	22
16	VVV Venlo	27	6	4	17	-33	22
17	FC Emmen	27	2	9	16	-32	15
18	Den Haag	26	2	9	15	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	14	10	3	1	+15	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	2	1	+20	32
3	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+26	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+13	29
5	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+20	24
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Heracles	14	6	3	5	+5	21
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Waalwijk	14	4	4	6	-2	16
12	Twente	13	3	5	5	-1	14
13	For Sittard	14	4	2	8	-7	14
14	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-10	14
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	VVV Venlo	13	3	3	7	-19	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	13	0	6	7	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+33	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	5	3	+9	23
4	Twente	14	6	5	3	+5	23
5	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	For Sittard	13	6	2	5	-1	20
7	Vitesse	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	3	5	-2	18
10	Groningen	12	5	1	6	-4	16
11	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-14	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	14	3	1	10	-14	10
16	Den Haag	13	2	3	8	-21	9
17	Willem II	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	FC Emmen	14	1	5	8	-15	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.