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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 60%

58%

62%

Points per game

2,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

81%

69%

Both score Ø 73%

77%

69%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 10

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	25	20	3	2	+59	63
2	PSV Eindhoven	26	16	7	3	+31	55
3	AZ Alkmaar	26	15	7	4	+23	52
4	Vitesse	26	16	3	7	+17	51
5	Feyenoord	25	13	7	5	+26	46
6	Groningen	26	12	6	8	+3	42
7	Utrecht	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Twente	27	9	10	8	+4	37
9	Heracles	26	10	5	11	-9	35
10	Heerenveen	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	For Sittard	27	10	4	13	-8	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	25	8	5	12	-5	29
13	Zwolle	27	6	11	10	-8	29
14	Waalwijk	27	6	8	13	-14	26
15	VVV Venlo	27	6	4	17	-33	22
16	Willem II	26	5	6	15	-25	21
17	FC Emmen	27	2	9	16	-32	15
18	Den Haag	26	2	9	15	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	2	1	+20	32
2	Vitesse	13	10	2	1	+15	32
3	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+26	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+11	26
5	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+20	24
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Heracles	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Waalwijk	14	4	4	6	-2	16
12	Twente	13	3	5	5	-1	14
13	For Sittard	14	4	2	8	-7	14
14	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-10	14
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	VVV Venlo	13	3	3	7	-19	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	13	0	6	7	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+33	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	Twente	14	6	5	3	+5	23
5	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	For Sittard	13	6	2	5	-1	20
7	Vitesse	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Groningen	12	5	1	6	-4	16
11	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-14	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	14	3	1	10	-14	10
16	Den Haag	13	2	3	8	-21	9
17	FC Emmen	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	Willem II	13	1	4	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.