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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

PSV Eindhoven

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 74%

65%

82%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

74%

77%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

3,4

4,0

Scored

2,3

3,3

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	22	18	2	2	+55	56
2	PSV Eindhoven	23	15	5	3	+29	50
3	AZ Alkmaar	23	13	7	3	+19	46
4	Vitesse	24	14	3	7	+14	45
5	Feyenoord	21	12	5	4	+22	41
6	Groningen	22	11	5	6	+6	38
7	Twente	24	9	8	7	+7	35
8	Utrecht	21	8	8	5	+7	32
9	For Sittard	23	9	4	10	-6	31
10	Heerenveen	24	7	9	8	-3	30
11	Heracles	24	8	5	11	-11	29
12	Zwolle	24	5	11	8	-6	26
13	Waalwijk	24	5	8	11	-13	23
14	Sparta Rotterdam	22	6	4	12	-8	22
15	VVV Venlo	23	6	4	13	-23	22
16	Willem II	24	4	5	15	-27	17
17	Den Haag	24	2	9	13	-30	15
18	FC Emmen	24	2	6	16	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	10	0	1	+20	30
2	Vitesse	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+24	28
4	Groningen	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+14	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Utrecht	12	5	5	2	+4	20
8	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Heracles	12	5	2	5	+4	17
10	Zwolle	12	3	6	3	+1	15
11	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-4	14
12	Twente	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Waalwijk	12	3	4	5	-3	13
14	VVV Venlo	11	3	3	5	-16	12
15	Willem II	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-5	9
17	Den Haag	12	0	6	6	-12	6
18	FC Emmen	12	1	3	8	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+31	28
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	5	0	+13	26
3	Twente	12	6	4	2	+8	22
4	Feyenoord	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	PSV Eindhoven	12	5	5	2	+9	20
6	For Sittard	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Vitesse	12	5	1	6	+0	16
8	Groningen	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Sparta Rotterdam	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Heerenveen	13	2	6	5	-8	12
12	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-15	12
13	Zwolle	12	2	5	5	-7	11
14	VVV Venlo	12	3	1	8	-7	10
15	Waalwijk	12	2	4	6	-10	10
16	Den Haag	12	2	3	7	-18	9
17	Willem II	12	1	3	8	-15	6
18	FC Emmen	12	1	3	8	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.