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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

S S S T T

6–1

Full-time

Den Haag

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

76%

18%

Points per game

2,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

71%

53%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

3,9

2,9

Scored

3,1

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

65% Possession 35%

28 Shots 6

13 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Den Haag 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	2	2	+37	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	18	13	2	3	+28	41
3	PSV Eindhoven	18	10	4	4	+19	34
4	Willem II	18	10	3	5	+5	33
5	Utrecht	17	9	2	6	+9	29
6	Heerenveen	18	7	7	4	+7	28
7	Feyenoord	17	7	7	3	+4	28
8	Vitesse	17	8	3	6	+5	27
9	Heracles	18	7	5	6	+5	26
10	Sparta Rotterdam	18	6	5	7	-3	23
11	Groningen	17	6	4	7	+1	22
12	Twente	18	5	4	9	-11	19
13	For Sittard	18	5	4	9	-19	19
14	FC Emmen	17	5	3	9	-12	18
15	Zwolle	18	5	1	12	-17	16
16	VVV Venlo	17	5	0	12	-24	15
17	Den Haag	17	3	4	10	-13	13
18	Waalwijk	18	3	2	13	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	1	1	+16	22
3	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+24	21
4	Feyenoord	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Sparta Rotterdam	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	For Sittard	9	5	2	2	+6	17
7	FC Emmen	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Willem II	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	Heracles	9	5	1	3	+10	16
10	Utrecht	8	5	0	3	+10	15
11	Heerenveen	10	3	6	1	+2	15
12	Vitesse	8	4	2	2	+4	14
13	Groningen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
14	VVV Venlo	9	4	0	5	-8	12
15	Twente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Den Haag	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	Willem II	9	5	1	3	+0	16
4	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
6	Vitesse	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	PSV Eindhoven	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Feyenoord	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Heracles	9	2	4	3	-5	10
10	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Twente	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-12	6
14	Zwolle	10	2	0	8	-14	6
15	Waalwijk	9	1	1	7	-15	4
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	0	7	-16	3
17	For Sittard	9	0	2	7	-25	2
18	FC Emmen	8	0	1	7	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.