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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Villarreal
T U T T S
2–1
Full-time
Cadiz
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
48%
37%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
41%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 7. · Cadiz 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 27 19 6 2 +32 63
2 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +26 60
3 Barcelona 27 18 5 4 +38 59
4 Sevilla 28 17 4 7 +18 55
5 Sociedad 27 12 9 6 +21 45
6 Betis 28 14 3 11 -3 45
7 Villarreal 27 9 13 5 +7 40
8 Granada 27 10 6 11 -11 36
9 Ath Bilbao 28 9 8 11 +6 35
10 Levante 28 8 11 9 -1 35
11 Celta 28 8 10 10 -8 34
12 Valencia 27 7 9 11 -5 30
13 Osasuna 28 7 9 12 -12 30
14 Getafe 28 7 8 13 -11 29
15 Cadiz 27 7 8 12 -19 29
16 Valladolid 28 5 12 11 -12 27
17 Elche 28 5 10 13 -17 25
18 Eibar 28 4 11 13 -11 23
19 Alaves 27 5 8 14 -20 23
20 Huesca 28 3 12 13 -18 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -20 Cadiz – Villarreal 0–0

Match report

Villarreal Cadiz
Dani Parejo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
3′
4′
🟨 Jens Jønsson
1–0 Gerard Moreno
5′
15′
🟨 Juan Cala
Juan Foyth 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
Manu Trigueros 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 Alberto Perea
↦ J. Jønsson
2–0 C. Bacca
Gerard Moreno
67′
69′
Álex 2–1
Moi Gómez 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
74′
Paco Alcácer 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
74′
75′
🔁 Alejo
↦ Salvi
75′
🔁 Jairo Izquierdo
↦ A. Espino
Yeremi Pino 🔁
↦ S. Chukwueze
81′
86′
🔁 Jorge Pombo
↦ José Mari
86′
🔁 F. Malbašić
↦ Sobrino
Raúl Albiol 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Fali
Pedraza 🔁
↦ Gerard Moreno
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Asenjo G
3 Albiol D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Ramiro Funes Mori D
15 P. Estupiñán D
8 J. Foyth M
5 Dani Parejo M
14 Manu Trigueros M
11 S. Chukwueze M
9 C. Bacca F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (11)
23 Moi Gómez
17 Paco Alcácer
30 Yeremi Pino
24 Pedraza
20 Rubén Peña
35 F. Jörgensen
21 Jaume Costa
31 Íker Álvarez De Eulate
32 Álex Baena
18 Alberto Moreno
12 Dani Raba

Coach: Unai Emery

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
16 Juan Cala D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
6 José Mari M
7 Salvi M
2 J. Jønsson M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
21 Sobrino F
Bench (12)
10 Alberto Perea
14 Alejo
25 Jairo Izquierdo
11 Jorge Pombo
24 F. Malbašić
15 Carlos Akapo
12 I. Šaponjić
19 Alcalá
5 Jon Garrido
17 A. Fernández
13 David Gil
35 Juanjo Garrancho

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,42
B
8,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.