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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Gent

U U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 29/34 matches

Win Ø 38%

41%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 49%

48%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 12. · Cercle Brugge 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	20	5	4	+45	65
2	Antwerp	30	17	7	6	+17	58
3	Waregem	35	17	4	14	-1	55
4	Genk	30	14	10	6	+18	52
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	34	14	10	10	+4	52
6	Beerschot VA	34	15	6	13	-2	51
7	Mechelen	29	14	7	8	+6	49
8	Anderlecht	31	10	16	5	+14	46
9	Oostende	28	13	6	9	+9	45
10	Eupen	35	10	15	10	-6	45
11	Charleroi	33	11	10	12	+1	43
12	Gent	29	12	6	11	+13	42
13	Kortrijk	34	12	6	16	-6	42
14	Standard	30	10	9	11	+0	39
15	Cercle Brugge	34	12	2	20	-10	38
16	St Truiden	33	8	9	16	-12	33
17	Mouscron	31	7	9	15	-19	30
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	31	7	9	15	-19	30
19	Waasland-Beveren	30	6	7	17	-26	25
20	Beveren	30	6	7	17	-26	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	16	9	5	2	+10	32
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+18	31
3	Genk	15	8	6	1	+17	30
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	9	2	5	+5	29
5	Oostende	13	8	3	2	+14	27
6	Anderlecht	16	6	9	1	+11	27
7	Beerschot VA	17	7	5	5	+4	26
8	Eupen	18	5	8	5	-2	23
9	Waregem	17	7	2	8	-7	23
10	Standard	15	5	6	4	+2	21
11	Charleroi	16	5	5	6	+1	20
12	Kortrijk	17	6	2	9	-6	20
13	Mechelen	15	5	4	6	+2	19
14	St Truiden	17	5	4	8	-2	19
15	Gent	14	5	3	6	+7	18
16	Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
18	Cercle Brugge	17	5	1	11	-4	16
19	Waasland-Beveren	15	3	2	10	-16	11
20	Beveren	15	3	2	10	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+27	34
2	Waregem	18	10	2	6	+6	32
3	Mechelen	14	9	3	2	+4	30
4	Antwerp	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Beerschot VA	17	8	1	8	-6	25
6	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Charleroi	17	6	5	6	+0	23
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	5	8	5	-1	23
9	Genk	15	6	4	5	+1	22
10	Kortrijk	17	6	4	7	+0	22
11	Eupen	17	5	7	5	-4	22
12	Cercle Brugge	17	7	1	9	-6	22
13	Anderlecht	15	4	7	4	+3	19
14	Standard	15	5	3	7	-2	18
15	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-5	18
16	Waasland-Beveren	15	3	5	7	-10	14
17	Beveren	15	3	5	7	-10	14
18	St Truiden	16	3	5	8	-10	14
19	Mouscron	15	3	4	8	-15	13
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	4	8	-15	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.