Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dijon
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lille
|
29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | +32 | 63 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | +44 | 60 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +31 | 60 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 5 |
Lens
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +4 | 48 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +4 | 44 |
| 8 |
Metz
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +4 | 42 |
| 9 |
Montpellier
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 |
Nice
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |
Bordeaux
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 |
Reims
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 35 |
| 14 |
Brest
|
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |
Strasbourg
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -7 | 33 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -16 | 33 |
| 17 |
Lorient
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 18 |
Nantes
|
29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -15 | 27 |
| 19 |
Nimes
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 26 |
| 20 |
Dijon
|
29 | 2 | 9 | 18 | -30 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Racioppi
G
S. Boey
D
B. Celina
M
Coach: D. Linarès
G. Konan
D
M. Cafaro
M
M. Munetsi
M
B. Dia
F
N. Mbuku
M
Coach: D. Guion
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Dijon
Bordeaux
Brest
Dijon
Dijon
Paris SG
Lens
Dijon
Dijon
Nimes
B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.