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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Mechelen

S U S S U

2–2

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 28/33 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

42%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

70%

Both score Ø 71%

68%

73%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 7. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	20	5	4	+45	65
2	Antwerp	30	17	7	6	+17	58
3	Waregem	34	17	4	13	+2	55
4	Genk	30	14	10	6	+18	52
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	33	14	9	10	+4	51
6	Beerschot VA	34	15	6	13	-2	51
7	Mechelen	28	14	6	8	+6	48
8	Oostende	28	13	6	9	+9	45
9	Eupen	35	10	15	10	-6	45
10	Anderlecht	30	9	16	5	+11	43
11	Charleroi	33	11	10	12	+1	43
12	Gent	29	12	6	11	+13	42
13	Kortrijk	34	12	6	16	-6	42
14	Standard	30	10	9	11	+0	39
15	Cercle Brugge	34	12	2	20	-10	38
16	St Truiden	33	8	9	16	-12	33
17	Mouscron	31	7	9	15	-19	30
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	31	7	9	15	-19	30
19	Waasland-Beveren	30	6	7	17	-26	25
20	Beveren	30	6	7	17	-26	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	16	9	5	2	+10	32
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+18	31
3	Genk	15	8	6	1	+17	30
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	9	2	5	+5	29
5	Oostende	13	8	3	2	+14	27
6	Beerschot VA	17	7	5	5	+4	26
7	Anderlecht	15	5	9	1	+8	24
8	Eupen	18	5	8	5	-2	23
9	Waregem	17	7	2	8	-7	23
10	Standard	15	5	6	4	+2	21
11	Charleroi	16	5	5	6	+1	20
12	Kortrijk	17	6	2	9	-6	20
13	St Truiden	17	5	4	8	-2	19
14	Gent	14	5	3	6	+7	18
15	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	+2	18
16	Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
18	Cercle Brugge	17	5	1	11	-4	16
19	Waasland-Beveren	15	3	2	10	-16	11
20	Beveren	15	3	2	10	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+27	34
2	Waregem	17	10	2	5	+9	32
3	Mechelen	14	9	3	2	+4	30
4	Antwerp	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Beerschot VA	17	8	1	8	-6	25
6	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Charleroi	17	6	5	6	+0	23
8	Genk	15	6	4	5	+1	22
9	Kortrijk	17	6	4	7	+0	22
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	5	7	5	-1	22
11	Eupen	17	5	7	5	-4	22
12	Cercle Brugge	17	7	1	9	-6	22
13	Anderlecht	15	4	7	4	+3	19
14	Standard	15	5	3	7	-2	18
15	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-5	18
16	Waasland-Beveren	15	3	5	7	-10	14
17	Beveren	15	3	5	7	-10	14
18	St Truiden	16	3	5	8	-10	14
19	Mouscron	15	3	4	8	-15	13
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	4	8	-15	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.