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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Hartberg

U S S S T

3–3

Full-time

St. Polten

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

62%

Both score Ø 55%

62%

48%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 6

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 7. · St. Polten 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	22	17	1	4	+43	52
2	SK Rapid	21	13	5	3	+18	44
3	LASK	22	13	3	6	+21	42
4	Sturm Graz	21	11	5	5	+14	38
5	Wolfsberger AC	21	9	3	9	-1	30
6	Tirol	21	8	5	8	+3	29
7	Hartberg	21	7	7	7	-13	28
8	Austria Vienna	21	6	7	8	+1	25
9	St. Polten	21	5	5	11	-10	20
10	Altach	21	5	3	13	-24	18
11	Ried	21	4	4	13	-24	16
12	Admira	21	3	4	14	-28	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	9	0	2	+25	27
2	SK Rapid	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Sturm Graz	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	LASK	11	7	0	4	+14	21
5	Hartberg	10	4	3	3	-3	15
6	Tirol	10	3	3	4	+1	12
7	Austria Vienna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
8	Ried	11	3	2	6	-11	11
9	Admira	10	3	1	6	-9	10
10	Altach	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	Wolfsberger AC	11	2	3	6	-9	9
12	St. Polten	11	1	3	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	8	1	2	+18	25
2	Wolfsberger AC	10	7	0	3	+8	21
3	LASK	11	6	3	2	+7	21
4	SK Rapid	10	5	3	2	+3	18
5	Tirol	11	5	2	4	+2	17
6	Austria Vienna	11	4	2	5	+3	14
7	St. Polten	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Sturm Graz	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Hartberg	11	3	4	4	-10	13
10	Altach	11	3	0	8	-16	9
11	Ried	10	1	2	7	-13	5
12	Admira	11	0	3	8	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.