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Eredivisie
Referee: S Mulder
Heracles
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
54%
40%
Both score Ø 43%
42%
44%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 9. · Sparta Rotterdam 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 25 20 3 2 +59 63
2 PSV Eindhoven 27 16 7 4 +29 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 27 16 7 4 +25 55
4 Vitesse 27 16 4 7 +17 52
5 Feyenoord 25 13 7 5 +26 46
6 Groningen 26 12 6 8 +3 42
7 Utrecht 24 10 8 6 +7 38
8 Twente 27 9 10 8 +4 37
9 Heracles 26 10 5 11 -9 35
10 Heerenveen 27 8 10 9 -2 34
11 For Sittard 27 10 4 13 -8 34
12 Sparta Rotterdam 25 8 5 12 -5 29
13 Zwolle 27 6 11 10 -8 29
14 Waalwijk 27 6 8 13 -14 26
15 Willem II 27 5 7 15 -25 22
16 VVV Venlo 27 6 4 17 -33 22
17 FC Emmen 27 2 9 16 -32 15
18 Den Haag 26 2 9 15 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam
Half-time 0–0
Sinan Bakış 🟨
58′
58′
L. Thy 0–1
W. Burger
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
63′
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
63′
67′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ W. Burger
K. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ L. Schoofs
71′
84′
🟨 Laros Duarte
87′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ L. Thy
87′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ A. Auassar
1–1 R. Vloet
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
4 R. Pröpper D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
18 I. Azzaoui M
37 D. Burgzorg M
Bench (10)
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
25 A. Kutucu
20 K. Jakobsen
34 J. Hardeveld
16 M. Brouwer
13 M. Knoester
8 T. Bijleveld
26 K. Bucker
17 A. Szőke
2 T. Breukers

Coach: F. Wormuth

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 B. Vriends D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 L. Duarte M
7 A. Harroui M
11 W. Burger M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (10)
18 D. Duarte
19 E. Emegha
13 S. Mijnans
20 B. van Leer
14 D. Vianello
30 M. Fabrie
17 R. Kharchouch
15 M. Pinto
12 Jeffry Fortes
16 J. Meerstadt

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U ✓
3,35
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Mulder · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.