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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Sociedad

S S U S T

1–6

Full-time

Barcelona

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,3

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 56%

44%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

41%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

31% Possession 69%

10 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 5. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	28	20	6	2	+33	66
2	Real Madrid	28	18	6	4	+26	60
3	Barcelona	27	18	5	4	+38	59
4	Sevilla	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Sociedad	27	12	9	6	+21	45
6	Betis	28	14	3	11	-3	45
7	Villarreal	28	10	13	5	+8	43
8	Granada	28	10	6	12	-12	36
9	Ath Bilbao	28	9	8	11	+6	35
10	Levante	28	8	11	9	-1	35
11	Celta	28	8	10	10	-8	34
12	Valencia	28	8	9	11	-4	33
13	Osasuna	28	7	9	12	-12	30
14	Getafe	28	7	8	13	-11	29
15	Cadiz	28	7	8	13	-20	29
16	Valladolid	28	5	12	11	-12	27
17	Elche	28	5	10	13	-17	25
18	Eibar	28	4	11	13	-11	23
19	Alaves	28	5	8	15	-21	23
20	Huesca	28	3	12	13	-18	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+21	36
2	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+22	31
3	Sevilla	14	10	1	3	+13	31
4	Real Madrid	13	9	1	3	+14	28
5	Granada	14	8	3	3	+4	27
6	Betis	14	8	2	4	+4	26
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+10	24
8	Villarreal	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Sociedad	13	6	5	2	+13	23
10	Valencia	14	6	5	3	+6	23
11	Levante	14	5	7	2	+4	22
12	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
13	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+3	20
14	Osasuna	14	4	4	6	-6	16
15	Elche	13	3	6	4	-5	15
16	Alaves	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-7	14
18	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
19	Huesca	14	2	6	6	-6	12
20	Eibar	14	1	6	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
3	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+16	28
4	Sevilla	14	7	3	4	+5	24
5	Sociedad	14	6	4	4	+8	22
6	Villarreal	14	4	7	3	+3	19
7	Betis	14	6	1	7	-7	19
8	Cadiz	14	4	4	6	-10	16
9	Eibar	14	3	5	6	-2	14
10	Osasuna	14	3	5	6	-6	14
11	Levante	14	3	4	7	-5	13
12	Valladolid	14	2	7	5	-5	13
13	Celta	14	2	7	5	-6	13
14	Ath Bilbao	14	2	5	7	-4	11
15	Valencia	14	2	4	8	-10	10
16	Elche	15	2	4	9	-12	10
17	Huesca	14	1	6	7	-12	9
18	Getafe	13	2	3	8	-14	9
19	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-15	9
20	Granada	14	2	3	9	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.