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Super League

Referee: J Kehlet

Olympiakos

U S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

This season — Super League · 29/26 matches

Win Ø 69%

79%

58%

Points per game

2,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

59%

35%

Both score Ø 38%

48%

27%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

3 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	29	23	5	1	+53	74
2	Aris Thessalonikis	26	15	6	5	+18	51
3	Aris	27	15	6	6	+17	51
4	AEK	28	15	6	7	+11	51
5	Panathinaikos	29	14	7	8	+11	49
6	PAOK	28	13	9	6	+22	48
7	Asteras Tripolis	29	12	10	7	+2	46
8	Giannina	29	9	9	11	-2	36
9	Volos NFC	29	8	10	11	-9	34
10	Atromitos	29	6	11	12	-15	29
11	Lamia	29	7	8	14	-21	29
12	Apollon	29	8	4	17	-13	28
13	Panetolikos	29	4	9	16	-23	21
14	OFI Crete	29	5	5	19	-25	20
15	Larisa	29	4	7	18	-26	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	13	2	0	+33	41
2	PAOK	14	8	6	0	+19	30
3	Asteras Tripolis	15	8	4	3	+4	28
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Aris	13	8	2	3	+9	26
6	Panathinaikos	14	7	4	3	+7	25
7	AEK	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Giannina	15	4	5	6	-3	17
10	Volos NFC	15	4	5	6	-4	17
11	Lamia	14	4	4	6	-7	16
12	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-8	15
13	Apollon	15	4	1	10	-9	13
14	OFI Crete	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Larisa	14	1	5	8	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	AEK	14	9	2	3	+7	29
3	Aris Thessalonikis	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Aris	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Panathinaikos	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Giannina	14	5	4	5	+1	19
7	PAOK	14	5	3	6	+3	18
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
9	Volos NFC	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Apollon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
11	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-14	13
12	OFI Crete	15	3	2	10	-10	11
13	Larisa	15	3	2	10	-12	11
14	Atromitos	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Panetolikos	14	0	6	8	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.