Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vitesse
Willem II
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | +59 | 63 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | +31 | 55 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | +23 | 52 |
| 4 |
Vitesse
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 51 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 46 |
| 6 |
Groningen
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 38 |
| 8 |
Twente
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | +4 | 37 |
| 9 |
Heracles
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 |
For Sittard
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 |
Waalwijk
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 |
VVV Venlo
|
27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -33 | 22 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -25 | 21 |
| 17 |
FC Emmen
|
27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -32 | 15 |
| 18 |
Den Haag
|
26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -34 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Utrecht
Vitesse
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
VVV Venlo
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse
Vitesse
Twente
D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.