Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zaglebie
Legia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | +15 | 45 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 41 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +10 | 37 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +4 | 33 |
| 5 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +3 | 32 |
| 6 |
Piast Gliwice
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 7 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Lech Poznan
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Zaglebie
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Warta Poznan
|
22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 |
Wisla
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +4 | 28 |
| 12 |
Jagiellonia
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 |
Cracovia
|
22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -5 | 25 |
| 14 |
Wisla Plock
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 25 |
| 15 |
Stal Mielec
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 |
Podbeskidzie
|
22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -27 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie
Zaglebie
Jagiellonia
Cracovia
Zaglebie
Zaglebie
Rakow
Warta Poznan
Zaglebie
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.