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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Zwolle

U T T S T

0–2

Full-time

Ajax

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

79%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

52%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

54%

Average goals

2,9

4,0

Scored

1,3

3,2

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

31% Possession 69%

1 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	24	19	3	2	+57	60
2	PSV Eindhoven	26	16	7	3	+31	55
3	AZ Alkmaar	26	15	7	4	+23	52
4	Vitesse	26	16	3	7	+17	51
5	Feyenoord	24	13	6	5	+26	45
6	Groningen	25	12	6	7	+5	42
7	Twente	26	9	9	8	+4	36
8	Utrecht	23	9	8	6	+6	35
9	Heracles	26	10	5	11	-9	35
10	For Sittard	26	10	4	12	-7	34
11	Heerenveen	26	8	9	9	-2	33
12	Sparta Rotterdam	25	8	5	12	-5	29
13	Zwolle	25	5	11	9	-7	26
14	Waalwijk	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	VVV Venlo	26	6	4	16	-32	22
16	Willem II	26	5	6	15	-25	21
17	Den Haag	26	2	9	15	-34	15
18	FC Emmen	26	2	8	16	-32	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	2	1	+20	32
2	Vitesse	13	10	2	1	+15	32
3	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+26	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+11	26
5	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	Feyenoord	10	7	2	1	+20	23
7	Heerenveen	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	Heracles	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	12	3	6	3	+1	15
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-1	14
12	For Sittard	13	4	2	7	-6	14
13	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-10	14
14	Waalwijk	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	VVV Venlo	13	3	3	7	-19	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	13	0	6	7	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	2	1	+31	29
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
5	Twente	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	For Sittard	13	6	2	5	-1	20
7	Vitesse	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	2	5	-2	17
9	Groningen	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-14	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	13	3	1	9	-13	10
16	Den Haag	13	2	3	8	-21	9
17	Willem II	13	1	4	8	-15	7
18	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.