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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Den Haag

T T U U U

2–4

Full-time

Ajax

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

4,5

Scored

0,8

3,8

Conceded

2,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+3,2

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

83%

Points per game

0,6

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 46%

58%

33%

Average goals

3,3

4,5

Scored

0,9

3,9

Conceded

2,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+3,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

29% Possession 71%

5 Shots 30

3 Shots on target 12

0 Blocked shots 5

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 11

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 3

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Den Haag 17. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	0	2	+40	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Vitesse	13	9	2	2	+14	29
4	Groningen	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Twente	13	7	3	3	+10	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	5	1	+9	20
8	Heerenveen	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Zwolle	13	2	7	4	-8	13
11	Utrecht	11	2	6	3	-4	12
12	Waalwijk	13	3	3	7	-12	12
13	For Sittard	13	2	4	7	-13	10
14	Heracles	12	2	3	7	-11	9
15	VVV Venlo	13	2	3	8	-19	9
16	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Den Haag	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	FC Emmen	13	0	5	8	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
10	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-5	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Twente	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
11	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
12	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
13	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
14	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.