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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Nantes
S U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Lorient
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
69%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 18. · Lorient 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 29 18 9 2 +32 63
2 Paris SG 29 19 3 7 +44 60
3 Lyon 29 17 9 3 +31 60
4 Monaco 30 18 5 7 +22 59
5 Lens 30 13 9 8 +4 48
6 Marseille 30 12 9 9 +2 45
7 Rennes 30 12 8 10 +4 44
8 Metz 30 11 9 10 +4 42
9 Montpellier 29 11 8 10 -3 41
10 Nice 30 11 6 13 -2 39
11 Angers 29 11 6 12 -10 39
12 Bordeaux 29 10 6 13 -4 36
13 Reims 29 8 11 10 -1 35
14 Brest 29 10 4 15 -10 34
15 Strasbourg 30 9 6 15 -7 33
16 St Etienne 30 8 9 13 -16 33
17 Lorient 29 7 7 15 -18 28
18 Nantes 29 5 12 12 -15 27
19 Nimes 29 7 5 17 -27 26
20 Dijon 29 2 9 18 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Lorient
1–0 R. Muani
A. Touré
2′
24′
🟨 Armand Lauriente
Half-time 1–0
71′
🔁 J. Delaplace
↦ H. Mendes
I. Louza 🔁
↦ L. Blas
76′
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ M. Simon
76′
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ R. Muani
76′
83′
🔁 A. Grbić
↦ J. Hergault
83′
🔁 E. Le Fée
↦ F. Lemoine
87′
A. Laurienté 1–1
D. Appiah 🔁
↦ M. Coco
89′
89′
🔁 T. Monconduit
↦ T. Moffi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nantes

5-3-2
1 A. Lafont G
4 N. Pallois D
21 J. Castelletto D
14 C. Traoré D
3 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
27 M. Simon F
11 M. Coco D
23 R. Muani F
Bench (9)
26 I. Louza
32 K. Bamba
7 K. Coulibaly
12 D. Appiah
30 D. Petrić
28 R. Emond
33 A. Sylla
17 A. Limbombe
34 Q. Merlin

Coach: R. Domenech

Lorient

3-4-3
1 M. Dreyer G
14 J. Hergault M
15 J. Laporte D
17 H. Mendes M
2 A. Gravillon D
18 F. Lemoine M
6 L. Abergel M
8 T. Chalobah D
19 Y. Wissa F
28 A. Laurienté F
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
22 J. Delaplace
27 A. Grbić
10 E. Le Fée
23 T. Monconduit
16 T. Bartouche
29 P. Hamel
11 Q. Boisgard
33 L. Mouyokolo
12 S. Marveaux

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U ✓
3,17
B
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.