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Super League

Referee: António Nobre

Asteras Tripolis

U U S U T

2–2

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

43%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

36%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

39%

36%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 7. · Panathinaikos 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	28	22	5	1	+52	71
2	Aris Thessalonikis	26	15	6	5	+18	51
3	Aris	26	15	6	5	+18	51
4	AEK	28	15	6	7	+11	51
5	PAOK	28	13	9	6	+22	48
6	Panathinaikos	28	14	6	8	+11	48
7	Asteras Tripolis	28	12	9	7	+2	45
8	Giannina	29	9	9	11	-2	36
9	Volos NFC	29	8	10	11	-9	34
10	Atromitos	29	6	11	12	-15	29
11	Lamia	29	7	8	14	-21	29
12	Apollon	29	8	4	17	-13	28
13	Panetolikos	29	4	9	16	-23	21
14	OFI Crete	29	5	5	19	-25	20
15	Larisa	29	4	7	18	-26	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	12	2	0	+32	38
2	PAOK	14	8	6	0	+19	30
3	Asteras Tripolis	14	8	3	3	+4	27
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Aris	13	8	2	3	+9	26
6	Panathinaikos	14	7	4	3	+7	25
7	AEK	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Giannina	15	4	5	6	-3	17
10	Volos NFC	15	4	5	6	-4	17
11	Lamia	14	4	4	6	-7	16
12	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-8	15
13	Apollon	15	4	1	10	-9	13
14	OFI Crete	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Larisa	14	1	5	8	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	AEK	14	9	2	3	+7	29
3	Aris Thessalonikis	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Aris	13	7	4	2	+9	25
5	Panathinaikos	14	7	2	5	+4	23
6	Giannina	14	5	4	5	+1	19
7	PAOK	14	5	3	6	+3	18
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
9	Volos NFC	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Apollon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
11	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-14	13
12	OFI Crete	15	3	2	10	-10	11
13	Larisa	15	3	2	10	-12	11
14	Atromitos	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Panetolikos	14	0	6	8	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.