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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Admira
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
14%
52%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
81%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Admira 12. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 22 17 1 4 +43 52
2 SK Rapid 21 13 5 3 +18 44
3 LASK 22 13 3 6 +21 42
4 Sturm Graz 21 11 5 5 +14 38
5 Wolfsberger AC 21 9 3 9 -1 30
6 Tirol 21 8 5 8 +3 29
7 Hartberg 21 7 7 7 -13 28
8 Austria Vienna 21 6 7 8 +1 25
9 St. Polten 21 5 5 11 -10 20
10 Altach 21 5 3 13 -24 18
11 Ried 21 4 4 13 -24 16
12 Admira 21 3 4 14 -28 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -20 Sturm Graz – Admira 3–0 22. Feb -20 Admira – Sturm Graz 0–2 29. Sep -19 Sturm Graz – Admira 4–1

Match report

Admira Sturm Graz
Marcus Maier 🟨
26′
Emanuel Aiwu 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
Sebastian Bauer 🟨
46′
M. Hausjell 🔁
↦ M. Maier
46′
Luca Kronberger 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ J. Gazibegović
59′
🔁 K. Yeboah
↦ K. Friesenbichler
67′
🟨 Amadou Dante
78′
🔁 D. Shabanhaxhaj
↦ O. Kiteishvili
78′
🔁 B. Balaj
↦ J. Jantscher
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ D. Atanga
84′
86′
🔁 P. Komposch
↦ S. Hierländer
P. Petlach 🔁
↦ L. Kronberger
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Admira

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
84 M. Ostrzolek M
4 S. Bauer D
12 L. Malicsek D
27 E. Aiwu D
22 M. Maier M
77 D. Atanga F
19 W. Vorsager M
20 M. Kadlec M
99 A. Wooten F
63 L. Kronberger F
Bench (7)
24 M. Hausjell
10 M. Breunig
23 P. Petlach
25 M. Spasić
7 D. Starkl
28 O. Hadžikić
97 J. Ganda

Coach: D. Burić

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
11 J. Gazibegović D
6 D. Nemeth D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 K. Friesenbichler F
Bench (7)
35 N. Geyrhofer
23 K. Yeboah
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj
9 B. Balaj
14 P. Komposch
17 L. Jäger
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.