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Serie B
Salernitana
U U S U U
1–0
Full-time
Brescia
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,5
1,7
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
34%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
34%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
41%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 0
7 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 5. · Brescia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 30 15 14 1 +29 59
2 Lecce 30 13 13 4 +22 52
3 Monza 30 13 11 6 +14 50
4 Venezia 30 13 10 7 +12 49
5 Salernitana 29 12 12 5 +4 48
6 Cittadella 30 12 9 9 +12 45
7 Spal 30 11 12 7 +3 45
8 Chievo 30 11 11 8 +9 44
9 Pisa 29 9 13 7 -1 40
10 Brescia 29 10 9 10 +0 39
11 Vicenza 30 8 14 8 +0 38
12 Frosinone 30 9 11 10 -8 38
13 Reggina 30 9 10 11 -5 37
14 Cremonese 30 9 9 12 -1 36
15 Pordenone 29 7 13 9 +0 34
16 Cosenza 30 4 17 9 -6 29
17 Reggiana 30 8 5 17 -22 29
18 Ascoli 30 6 10 14 -14 28
19 Pescara 30 5 8 17 -25 23
20 Virtus Entella 30 4 9 17 -23 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -20 Brescia – Salernitana 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
2,93
B
3,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.