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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Lille

U S U S U

1–2

Full-time

Nimes

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

62%

24%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

38%

52%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

41%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

72% Possession 28%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 0

3 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 1. · Nimes 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	29	18	9	2	+32	63
2	Paris SG	29	19	3	7	+44	60
3	Lyon	29	17	9	3	+31	60
4	Monaco	30	18	5	7	+22	59
5	Lens	30	13	9	8	+4	48
6	Marseille	30	12	9	9	+2	45
7	Rennes	30	12	8	10	+4	44
8	Montpellier	30	12	8	10	-1	44
9	Metz	30	11	9	10	+4	42
10	Angers	30	11	7	12	-10	40
11	Nice	30	11	6	13	-2	39
12	Reims	30	9	11	10	+0	38
13	Bordeaux	30	10	6	14	-6	36
14	Brest	30	10	5	15	-10	35
15	Strasbourg	30	9	6	15	-7	33
16	St Etienne	30	8	9	13	-16	33
17	Lorient	30	7	8	15	-18	29
18	Nantes	30	5	13	12	-15	28
19	Nimes	29	7	5	17	-27	26
20	Dijon	30	2	9	19	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+16	32
2	Monaco	15	9	5	1	+15	32
3	Paris SG	15	10	1	4	+25	31
4	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+17	30
5	Brest	15	8	2	5	+4	26
6	Marseille	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Montpellier	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
9	Lens	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Lorient	15	6	2	7	-5	20
11	Metz	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
13	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
14	Angers	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	Nice	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Strasbourg	15	4	4	7	-3	16
17	St Etienne	15	3	6	6	-11	15
18	Nantes	15	2	8	5	-8	14
19	Nimes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Dijon	16	0	6	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	14	9	4	1	+16	31
2	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
3	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+19	29
4	Lens	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
6	Rennes	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Metz	15	6	5	4	+4	23
8	Angers	16	6	5	5	-5	23
9	Nice	15	6	4	5	+4	22
10	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	-1	21
11	Reims	16	5	5	6	+1	20
12	Marseille	15	5	5	5	-3	20
13	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
14	Strasbourg	15	5	2	8	-4	17
15	Bordeaux	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
17	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-15	14
18	Lorient	15	1	6	8	-13	9
19	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Brest	15	2	3	10	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.