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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Ajax

T S S S S

5–0

Full-time

Heracles

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

5,5

3,0

Scored

4,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,8

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

88%

25%

Points per game

2,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

4,6

3,0

Scored

4,0

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 8

13 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

14 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Heracles 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+27	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+10	17
6	Heerenveen	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Groningen	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	5	0	+6	11
9	Utrecht	8	2	4	2	-3	10
10	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-4	8
11	Zwolle	9	1	5	3	-5	8
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
13	VVV Venlo	9	2	2	5	-14	8
14	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Waalwijk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Den Haag	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-10	3
18	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Groningen	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-13	4
14	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+16	9
4	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
11	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-4	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-7	3
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	FC Emmen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.