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Superligaen
Aarhus
U S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Midtjylland
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Midtjylland 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sonderjyske 9 5 3 1 +7 18
2 Midtjylland 8 5 1 2 +4 16
3 Aarhus 8 4 3 1 +7 15
4 Brondby 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Aalborg 9 4 3 2 +0 15
6 Vejle 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Nordsjaelland 9 3 4 2 +5 13
8 Odense 9 3 2 4 -2 11
9 FC Copenhagen 8 3 1 4 -3 10
10 Randers FC 8 2 1 5 +1 7
11 Lyngby 9 0 3 6 -11 3
12 Horsens 9 0 3 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.