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Bundesliga

Referee: R Eisner

Ried

T T T T S

4–3

Full-time

SK Rapid

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

0,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

3,4

3,7

Scored

1,1

2,6

Conceded

2,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%

14 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 10. · SK Rapid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	6	1	1	+18	19
2	SK Rapid	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	LASK	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	3	1	+6	12
5	St. Polten	8	3	2	3	+5	11
6	Tirol	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Austria Vienna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Hartberg	8	1	4	3	-9	7
10	Ried	7	2	0	5	-8	6
11	Altach	8	1	2	5	-11	5
12	Admira	8	1	1	6	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	Ried	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Hartberg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Altach	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	St. Polten	4	1	1	2	+2	4
11	Admira	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	St. Polten	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Tirol	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Hartberg	4	0	2	2	-8	2
10	Admira	5	0	1	4	-12	1
11	Ried	3	0	0	3	-7	0
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.