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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Heracles

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Ajax

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,2

6,5

Scored

1,2

4,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,5

This season — Eredivisie · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 61%

42%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

74%

80%

Both score Ø 41%

47%

35%

Average goals

3,7

4,5

Scored

1,7

3,6

Conceded

2,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 5. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	20	18	1	1	+58	55
2	Ajax	20	16	2	2	+54	50
3	Feyenoord	20	12	3	5	+16	39
4	AZ Alkmaar	21	11	4	6	+17	37
5	Heracles	19	8	2	9	-7	26
6	VVV Venlo	20	7	5	8	-8	26
7	Utrecht	18	7	4	7	+1	25
8	Willem II	20	7	4	9	-6	25
9	Vitesse	18	6	6	6	+1	24
10	Zwolle	20	7	3	10	-8	24
11	Den Haag	20	6	6	8	-11	24
12	For Sittard	20	6	5	9	-9	23
13	Heerenveen	20	5	7	8	-5	22
14	Excelsior	20	6	4	10	-20	22
15	Groningen	19	6	3	10	-3	21
16	FC Emmen	20	5	6	9	-21	21
17	De Graafschap	20	5	3	12	-24	18
18	NAC Breda	21	4	4	13	-25	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+40	33
2	Feyenoord	10	9	0	1	+17	27
3	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+36	26
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	3	2	+12	18
5	Heracles	9	6	0	3	+6	18
6	Utrecht	9	5	1	3	+8	16
7	De Graafschap	11	5	1	5	+1	16
8	VVV Venlo	9	4	3	2	+6	15
9	For Sittard	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Vitesse	8	4	3	1	+3	15
11	Excelsior	11	4	3	4	-7	15
12	NAC Breda	11	4	2	5	-4	14
13	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Groningen	9	3	1	5	+2	10
16	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-5	8
17	FC Emmen	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	Heerenveen	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	0	2	+18	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+18	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	1	4	+5	19
4	Willem II	10	5	2	3	-1	17
5	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	FC Emmen	10	4	2	4	-13	14
7	Zwolle	9	4	1	4	-4	13
8	Feyenoord	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Groningen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	VVV Venlo	11	3	2	6	-14	11
12	Vitesse	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Utrecht	9	2	3	4	-7	9
14	For Sittard	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	Heracles	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Excelsior	9	2	1	6	-13	7
17	NAC Breda	10	0	2	8	-21	2
18	De Graafschap	9	0	2	7	-25	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.