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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Sampdoria
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Bologna
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 10. · Bologna 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 7 5 2 0 +9 17
2 Napoli 6 5 0 1 +11 15
3 Sassuolo 7 4 3 0 +9 15
4 Roma 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Atalanta 8 4 2 2 +4 14
6 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Juventus 7 3 4 0 +8 13
8 Inter 7 3 3 1 +5 12
9 Verona 7 3 3 1 +5 12
10 Sampdoria 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Cagliari 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Spezia 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Benevento 8 3 0 5 -9 9
14 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Bologna 7 2 0 5 -2 6
16 Parma 7 1 3 3 -5 6
17 Torino 7 1 2 4 -4 5
18 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -8 5
19 Udinese 7 1 1 5 -5 4
20 Crotone 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Bologna
1–0 M. Thorsby
A. Candreva
7′
9′
🟨 Aaron Hickey
42′
🟨 Rodrigo Palacio
44′
V. Regini 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–1
52′
R. Orsolini 2–1
M. Barrow
G. Ramírez 🔁
↦ Adrien Silva
66′
Morten Thorsby 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 N. Domínguez
↦ M. Svanberg
J. Jankto 🔁
↦ V. Regini
70′
Gastón Ramírez 🟨
71′
79′
🔁 G. Medel
↦ J. Schouten
86′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ R. Orsolini
86′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ M. Barrow
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-3
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
19 V. Regini D
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
5 Adrien Silva M
87 A. Candreva F
6 A. Ekdal M
18 M. Thorsby M
38 M. Damsgaard F
27 F. Quagliarella F
Bench (12)
11 G. Ramírez
14 J. Jankto
25 A. Ferrari
2 Kaique Rocha
34 K. Letica
20 A. La Gumina
23 M. Gabbiadini
16 K. Askildsen
99 N. Prelec
8 V. Verre
26 M. Léris
30 N. Ravaglia

Coach: C. Ranieri

Bologna

4-1-4-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
23 Danilo D
14 T. Tomiyasu D
3 A. Hickey D
21 R. Soriano M
32 M. Svanberg M
30 J. Schouten M
24 R. Palacio F
7 R. Orsolini M
99 M. Barrow M
Bench (12)
8 N. Domínguez
17 G. Medel
10 N. Sansone
55 E. Vignato
6 N. Paz
18 A. Baldursson
70 D. Ruffo Luci
15 I. M'baye
16 A. Poli
4 S. Denswil
63 E. Vergani
1 Angelo da Costa

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U
3,53
B ✓
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.