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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
PAOK
U S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Giannina
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Giannina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 40%
57%
22%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PAOK 5. · Giannina 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 7 6 1 0 +14 19
2 Aris Thessalonikis 7 6 1 0 +7 19
3 Aris 7 6 1 0 +7 19
4 AEK 7 5 1 1 +9 16
5 PAOK 7 4 3 0 +8 15
6 Volos NFC 8 3 3 2 +2 12
7 Atromitos 9 3 3 3 -4 12
8 Asteras Tripolis 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Giannina 9 2 4 3 +0 10
10 Panathinaikos 10 2 3 5 -2 9
11 OFI Crete 8 1 3 4 -6 6
12 Larisa 7 1 2 4 -6 5
13 Apollon 8 1 1 6 -7 4
14 Panetolikos 10 0 4 6 -10 4
15 Lamia 8 0 2 6 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Giannina
26′
🔁 C. Eleftheriadis
↦ S. Križman
Anderson Esiti 🟨
30′
31′
R. Erramuspe 0–1
F. Castro
45′
🟨 Rodrigo Erramuspe
Half-time 0–1
O. El Kaddouri 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
46′
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
46′
D. Biseswar 🔁
↦ T. Murg
46′
1–1 K. Świderski
52′
57′
🟨 Rodrigo Erramuspe
57′
🟥 Rodrigo Erramuspe
62′
🔁 Juan Domínguez
↦ J. Leo
75′
🟨 Alexandros Kartalis
A. Čolak 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
76′
80′
🔁 A. Lolis
↦ A. Kartalis
Andrija Živković 🟨
84′
Omar El Kaddouri 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Epameinondas Pantelakis
2–1 O. El Kaddouri
José Crespo
91′
M. Wagué 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
88 Ž. Živković G
15 José Crespo D
5 Fernando Varela D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
16 A. Pereira D
20 Vieirinha M
22 S. Schwab M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković M
24 A. Esiti M
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
7 O. El Kaddouri
11 C. Tzolis
21 D. Biseswar
25 A. Čolak
18 M. Wagué
31 A. Paschalakis
51 T. Tsiggaras
4 S. Ingason
49 I. Michailidis

Coach: P. García

Giannina

4-4-2
33 E. Choutesiotis G
15 R. Erramuspe D
43 M. Peersman D
7 A. Kartalis M
4 E. Pantelakis D
22 S. Siontis M
2 M. Saliakas D
21 F. Castro M
12 S. Križman F
29 J. Leo F
14 G. Pamlidis F
Bench (9)
9 C. Eleftheriadis
10 Juan Domínguez
19 A. Lolis
23 S. Pilios
24 A. Oikonomopoulos
1 S. Yiannikoglou
80 A. Liasos
25 P. Panourgias
11 G. Doumtsis

Coach: A. Giannikis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
5,49
B
10,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.